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Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Ludogorets III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Svetkavitsa 2014 and Ludogorets III finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svetkavitsa 2014.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Svetkavitsa 2014
20%
Draws
40%
Ludogorets III
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ludogorets III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 14%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa 2014 Ludogorets III
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.03 3.52
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Ludogorets III
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 2014
2:0
Oct 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Ludogorets III
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 2014 30 / 100
Ludogorets III 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa 2014 Ludogorets III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svetkavitsa 2014 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Svetkavitsa 2014 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Svetkavitsa 2014 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Ludogorets III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa 2014 VS Ludogorets III
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa 2014

(Home)
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
26 Aug
Svetkavitsa 2014
4 : 0
Fratria II
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Ludogorets III

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volov Shumen 6 5 1 0 23:4 16
2 Svetkavitsa 2014 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
3 Ludogorets III 6 4 1 1 16:4 13
4 Chernomorets Balchik 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
5 Chernolomets 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
6 Benkovski 4 3 0 1 12:5 9
7 Cherno More II 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
8 FK Riltzi 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Botev Novi Pazar 5 2 2 1 11:8 8
10 Septemvri Tervel 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 5 2 1 2 11:13 7
12 Olympic Varna 6 2 0 4 13:18 6
13 Devnya 2005 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
14 Fratria II 6 1 0 5 6:23 3
15 Aksakovo 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
16 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
17 Ustrem Donchevo 6 0 0 6 11:23 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)