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Svetkavitsa vs Aksakovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aksakovo in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aksakovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aksakovo have won more games recently than Svetkavitsa.
  • Aksakovo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Aksakovo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 29 16
Goals Scored 0.2 1.45
Goals Conceded 3.67 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Svetkavitsa
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Aksakovo
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Aksakovo
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Svetkavitsa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Aksakovo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Aksakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksakovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aksakovo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Difficult form: Aksakovo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Svetkavitsa's goal record stands at 13% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS Aksakovo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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Aksakovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)