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Stadium Background

Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa in this Third League - North-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svetkavitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Dunav Ruse II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunav Ruse II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunav Ruse II lately — more wins on the board than Svetkavitsa.
  • Win probability leans Dunav Ruse II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Dunav Ruse II
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 1 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 29 9
Goals Scored 0.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.58 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II
0:0
May 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II
2:1
Oct 31, 2023 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Svetkavitsa
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II
3:0
Sep 18, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Svetkavitsa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Dunav Ruse II 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Dunav Ruse II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dunav Ruse II conceded in 93% of 14 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dunav Ruse II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Svetkavitsa scored in 16% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
5.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 7

Dunav Ruse II

(Away)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)