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Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2024/2025
Sun, Dec 1, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa host Dunav Ruse II in the Third League - North-East 2024/2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Svetkavitsa have averaged 0.39 scored and 3.36 conceded recently, against Dunav Ruse II's 1.29 scored and 2.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Svetkavitsa slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.67 vs 3.06, favoring Dunav Ruse II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Dunav Ruse II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunav Ruse II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svetkavitsa come out ahead of Dunav Ruse II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dunav Ruse II a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Dunav Ruse II
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 3 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 29 9
Goals Scored 0.39 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.36 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II
0:0
May 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II
2:1
Oct 31, 2023 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Svetkavitsa
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dunav Ruse II
3:0
Sep 18, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Svetkavitsa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Dunav Ruse II 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Dunav Ruse II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Ruse II let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Dunav Ruse II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Svetkavitsa found the back of the net in 21% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
5.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 7

Dunav Ruse II

(Away)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Septemvri Tervel 30 24 3 3 73:18 75
2 Chernolomets 30 22 3 5 69:25 69
3 Volov Shumen 30 21 3 6 66:26 66
4 Chernomorets Balchik 30 18 7 5 52:16 61
5 Ludogorets III 30 18 6 6 72:21 60
6 Cherno More II 30 14 7 9 42:31 49
7 Spartak Varna II 30 12 9 9 49:29 45
8 Aksakovo 30 12 6 12 50:48 42
9 Dorostol 30 11 7 12 36:36 40
10 Benkovski 30 11 6 13 55:46 39
11 FK Riltzi 30 7 10 13 47:54 31
12 Ustrem Donchevo 30 8 7 15 38:68 31
13 Svetkavitsa 30 6 6 18 31:66 24
14 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 4 20 29:68 22
15 Fratria II 30 6 3 21 32:88 21
16 Kubrat 30 0 1 29 11:112 1
17 Dunav Ruse II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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