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Svetkavitsa vs Ludogorets III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Sat, May 16, 2026
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa host Ludogorets III in the Third League - North-East 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ludogorets III have shipped 0.69 goals a game lately, while Svetkavitsa have conceded 3.67 and scored 0.2. Head-to-head, Svetkavitsa have won 0 to Ludogorets III's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 3.50) point toward Ludogorets III. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Ludogorets III
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Svetkavitsa haven't matched Ludogorets III's recent run of results.
  • Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Ludogorets III
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 23
Draws 1 3
Losses 29 3
Goals Scored 0.2 3.48
Goals Conceded 3.67 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Ludogorets III
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa
10:0
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Ludogorets III
1:4
Aug 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa
7:0
Mar 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Ludogorets III 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Ludogorets III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Svetkavitsa found the back of the net in 13% of recent matches (30 games).

Ludogorets III has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Ludogorets III's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS Ludogorets III
0 Goals Scored 4
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets III

(Away)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
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