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Svetkavitsa vs Volov Shumen

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Sat, May 9, 2026
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa host Volov Shumen in the Third League - North-East 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Volov Shumen have shipped 0.61 goals a game lately, while Svetkavitsa have conceded 3.67 and scored 0.2. Head-to-head, Svetkavitsa have won 1 to Volov Shumen's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.67 - 3.44) back Volov Shumen to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Volov Shumen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volov Shumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Volov Shumen have won more games recently than Svetkavitsa.
  • Win probability leans Volov Shumen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Volov Shumen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Volov Shumen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 0 21
Draws 1 3
Losses 29 4
Goals Scored 0.2 3.39
Goals Conceded 3.67 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Volov Shumen
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Svetkavitsa
5:0
Apr 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Svetkavitsa
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Volov Shumen
1:2
Feb 24, 2019 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Svetkavitsa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Volov Shumen 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Volov Shumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Svetkavitsa scored in 13% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Volov Shumen conceded in 39% of 28 recent games.

Volov Shumen's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS Volov Shumen
0 Goals Scored 3.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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Volov Shumen

(Away)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)