Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Svyturys Marijampole vs MRU TiuMenas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MRU TiuMenas in this Lithuanian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Svyturys Marijampole
15%
Draws
51%
MRU TiuMenas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MRU TiuMenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Svyturys Marijampole lately — more wins on the board than MRU TiuMenas.
  • Model gives MRU TiuMenas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Svyturys Marijampole have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MRU TiuMenas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 10%
MRU TiuMenas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svyturys Marijampole MRU TiuMenas
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.89 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2013 Lithuanian Cup
Svyturys Marijampole vs MRU TiuMenas
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svyturys Marijampole 10 / 100
MRU TiuMenas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svyturys Marijampole MRU TiuMenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MRU TiuMenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MRU TiuMenas has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Svyturys Marijampole's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Solid form: Svyturys Marijampole remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Svyturys Marijampole VS MRU TiuMenas
1.2 Goals Scored 0.5
3.2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Svyturys Marijampole

(Home)
25 May
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
Riteriai
20 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
1 : 10
Suduva
05 Jul
Svyturys Marijampole
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
1 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
25 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
FBK Kaunas
Page 1 of 4

MRU TiuMenas

(Away)
31 Oct
MRU TiuMenas
3 : 0
Kruoja 2
25 Oct
MRU TiuMenas
0 : 1
Banga
18 Oct
MRU TiuMenas
2 : 3
Palanga
06 Oct
MRU TiuMenas
3 : 0
Silute
03 Oct
FK Minija
2 : 3
MRU TiuMenas
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
Polonija Vilnius -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaunas United 4
Katastrofa Vilnius 1
Centras Alytus 0
Savanoris 3
Svyturys Marijampole 6
Pipirini Rokiskis 2
Gelezinis Vilkas 0
Kursiai Neringa 3
Marijampole City 7
Pietu IV Vilnius 0
Saned Joniskis 0
MRU TiuMenas 3
Kruoja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KUPSC Siauliai 10
Sarema Klaipeda 5
Kupiskis 2
Rytas Vilnius 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Palanga -
Atlantas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saulininkas Siauliai 5
Prelegentai Vilnius 0
SFK Rotalis 0
Medelyno Begiai 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tauras Taurage -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ekranas -
TAIP Vilnius 10
FK Minija 2
Sakuona Plikiai 1
FK Panevezys 2
FBK Kaunas 5
Jambo Klaipeda 1
Trivartis Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
Silute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gariunai Vilnius 5
Adiada Siauliai 0
Kursenai 1
Granitas Klaipeda 7
1/32-finals
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
Polonija Vilnius -
TBD -
Kaunas United 0
Savanoris 2
Svyturys Marijampole 3
Kursiai Neringa 2
Marijampole City 1
MRU TiuMenas 4
Kruoja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KUPSC Siauliai 10
Rytas Vilnius 0
TBD -
Palanga -
Atlantas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saulininkas Siauliai 3
Medelyno Begiai 1
TBD -
Tauras Taurage -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ekranas -
TAIP Vilnius 4
FK Panevezys 0
FBK Kaunas 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Silute -
TBD -
Gariunai Vilnius 0
Granitas Klaipeda 1
1/16-finals
Riteriai 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 0
TBD -
Suduva -
Polonija Vilnius 4
Savanoris 2
Svyturys Marijampole 1
MRU TiuMenas 5
Kruoja -
TBD -
KUPSC Siauliai 0
Palanga 5
Atlantas -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Banga -
TBD -
Saulininkas Siauliai 1
Tauras Taurage 4
Nevezis Kedainiai 6
Jonava 0
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
Ekranas -
TAIP Vilnius 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Silute 0
Granitas Klaipeda 3
1/8-finals
Riteriai 2
Suduva 1
Polonija Vilnius 3
MRU TiuMenas 4
Kruoja 4
Palanga 1
Atlantas 1
Zalgiris 2
Banga 2
Tauras Taurage 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 4
Dainava Alytus 5
Siauliai 1
Ekranas 0
TAIP Vilnius 1
Granitas Klaipeda 2
Quarter-finals
Riteriai 6
MRU TiuMenas 2
Kruoja 2
Zalgiris 4
Banga 5
Dainava Alytus 2
Siauliai 1
Granitas Klaipeda 1
Semi-finals
Riteriai 0
Zalgiris 1
Banga 3
Granitas Klaipeda 1
Final
Zalgiris 2
Banga 1