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Svyturys Marijampole vs Prelegentai Vilnius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Svyturys Marijampole advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Svyturys Marijampole
15%
Draws
51%
Prelegentai Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prelegentai Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Prelegentai Vilnius come out ahead of Svyturys Marijampole on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Svyturys Marijampole taking it.
  • Prelegentai Vilnius arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Svyturys Marijampole, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 10%
Prelegentai Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svyturys Marijampole Prelegentai Vilnius
Matches Played 18 24
Wins 11 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.89 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2010 Lithuanian Cup
Svyturys Marijampole vs Prelegentai Vilnius
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svyturys Marijampole 40 / 100
Prelegentai Vilnius 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svyturys Marijampole Prelegentai Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svyturys Marijampole's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Defensive concern: Prelegentai Vilnius conceded in 71% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Svyturys Marijampole has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Svyturys Marijampole VS Prelegentai Vilnius
1.43 Goals Scored 2.5
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svyturys Marijampole

(Home)
25 May
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
Riteriai
20 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
1 : 10
Suduva
05 Jul
Svyturys Marijampole
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
1 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
25 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
FBK Kaunas
Page 1 of 4

Prelegentai Vilnius

(Away)
26 Jun
Prelegentai Vilnius
0 : 8
FC Stumbras
29 May
Prelegentai Vilnius
2 : 0
Tera Vilnius
29 Sept
Prelegentai Vilnius
0 : 8
Utenis
22 Sept
Prelegentai Vilnius
3 : 1
FK Panevezys
25 Aug
Prelegentai Vilnius
5 : 3
FK Sveikata Kybartai
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Banga 2
FK Klaipeda 0
Vidzgiris Alytus 0
Ekranas 1
Siauliai 1
Suduva 0
Tauras Taurage 2
FBK Kaunas 3
Semi-finals
Siauliai 2
Ekranas 4
FBK Kaunas 1
Banga 6
Final
Ekranas 4
Banga 2