Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg

Austria Austria

2. Liga ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Nussbaumer L.
17'
Bagrationi M.
19' Event
Henrique Cayres
Assist: Nussbaumer L.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between SW Bregenz and Kapfenberg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SW Bregenz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SW Bregenz
15%
Draws
28%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SW Bregenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SW Bregenz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SW Bregenz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SW Bregenz Clean Sheet 19%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Bregenz Kapfenberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.86 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg
3:2
Apr 17, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs SW Bregenz
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg
1:1
May 24, 2025 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs SW Bregenz
5:3
Dec 1, 2024 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SW Bregenz Compare

Top Goalscorer de Sousa Oliveira T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique Cayres
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kapfenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Bregenz 85 / 100
Kapfenberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Bregenz Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Bregenz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kapfenberg conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

SW Bregenz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Kapfenberg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Bregenz VS Kapfenberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Bregenz

(Home)
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
12 Sept
SW Bregenz
4 : 0
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
04 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
0 : 1
SW Bregenz
29 Aug
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 0
SW Bregenz
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Kapfenberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)