Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg

Austria Austria

2. Liga ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SW Bregenz host Kapfenberg in the 2. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kapfenberg have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while SW Bregenz have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor SW Bregenz slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.38, favoring SW Bregenz. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
SW Bregenz
17%
Draws
13%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SW Bregenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • SW Bregenz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SW Bregenz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SW Bregenz Clean Sheet 17%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Bregenz Kapfenberg
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs SW Bregenz
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg
1:1
May 24, 2025 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs SW Bregenz
5:3
Dec 1, 2024 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Kapfenberg
4:0
Mar 2, 2024 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs SW Bregenz
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Bregenz 66 / 100
Kapfenberg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Bregenz Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Bregenz found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Kapfenberg let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

SW Bregenz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Bregenz VS Kapfenberg
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Bregenz

(Home)
31 Jul
Wacker Innsbruck
5 : 0
SW Bregenz
25 Jul
Bad Leonfelden
0 : 5
SW Bregenz
18 Jul
SW Bregenz
2 : 0
SC Imst
15 Jul
SW Bregenz
1 : 1
A. Lustenau
11 Jul
SW Bregenz
1 : 0
Hohenems
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Kapfenberg

(Away)
31 Jul
Kapfenberg
0 : 4
FC Liefering
25 Jul
Treibach
1 : 4
Kapfenberg
17 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
6 : 1
Kapfenberg
11 Jul
Grazer AK
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
03 Jul
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
2 : 7
Kapfenberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Innsbruck 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 FC Liefering 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 First Vienna 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 BW Linz 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 A. Salzburg 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Rapid Vienna II 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 ASK Voitsberg 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Amstetten 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Admira 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 St. Polten 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Hogo Hertha Wels 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
13 Austria Vienna (Am) 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
14 Sturm II 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
15 Kapfenberg 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
16 SW Bregenz 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)