Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SW Essen vs TuRU Dusseldorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Taguchi K.
70' Event
Romano M.
90'

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 game between SW Essen and TuRU Dusseldorf finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SW Essen
30%
Draws
12%
TuRU Dusseldorf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • SW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SW Essen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 18%
TuRU Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen TuRU Dusseldorf
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.53 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs TuRU Dusseldorf
1:1
Nov 27, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
TuRU Dusseldorf vs SW Essen
0:2
Dec 5, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs TuRU Dusseldorf
0:0
Mar 28, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
TuRU Dusseldorf vs SW Essen
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs TuRU Dusseldorf
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

TuRU Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Taguchi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 85 / 100
TuRU Dusseldorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen TuRU Dusseldorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TuRU Dusseldorf let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: SW Essen scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SW Essen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
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TuRU Dusseldorf

(Away)
09 Jul
TuRU Dusseldorf
0 : 4
SSVg Velbert
24 Jul
TuRU Dusseldorf
1 : 3
SSVg Velbert
17 Jul
TuRU Dusseldorf
1 : 1
Dusseldorf II
16 Jul
TuRU Dusseldorf
0 : 3
Borussia Freialdenhoven
08 Jul
TuRU Dusseldorf
0 : 3
Frechen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
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