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Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swansea U23 play Cardiff U23 in the Professional Development League 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Swansea U23 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Cardiff U23 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Swansea U23 won 1, Cardiff U23 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Swansea U23 and 1.38 for Cardiff U23. This points to a Cardiff U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Swansea U23
27%
Draws
49%
Cardiff U23
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Cardiff U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Swansea U23 picked up more points recently compared to Cardiff U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U23 Cardiff U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 14 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2022 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23
1:1
Nov 1, 2021 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:3
Jan 19, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23
2:1
Sep 14, 2020 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McFayden L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Semenyo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zimba C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U23 25 / 100
Cardiff U23 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U23 Cardiff U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cardiff U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Swansea U23 attacking → ← attacking Cardiff U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea U23 scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Cardiff U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Swansea U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 54
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheffield Utd U2323153547:2348
2Coventry U2323134657:3943
3Hull City U2323124744:4140
4Wigan U2323741231:3925
5Crewe U2323721427:5023
6Peterborough U2323571136:4122
7Barnsley U2323571122:4222
8Sheffield Wed U2323481121:3220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ipswich U2324163558:2751
2Bristol City U2324155460:3150
3Cardiff U2324152744:3047
4Charlton U2324106855:4636
5Millwall U2324931234:4530
6Colchester U2324851135:4429
7Watford U2324671128:4325
8Swansea U2324591034:4124
9QPR U2324731434:5324