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Swansea U23 vs Crewe U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Robbins J.
4' Event
Morgan D.
20' Event
Cotterill J.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Swansea U23 and Crewe U23 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swansea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Swansea U23
35%
Draws
6%
Crewe U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swansea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Crewe U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Swansea U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Crewe U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U23 Crewe U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 13 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2021 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Crewe U23
4:2
Apr 13, 2021 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Crewe U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cotterill J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Crewe U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Robbins J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U23 85 / 100
Crewe U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U23 Crewe U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Swansea U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Swansea U23's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea U23 VS Crewe U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea U23

(Home)
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2
Swansea U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
04 Apr
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
14 Mar
Swansea U23
5 : 1
QPR U23
Page 1 of 7

Crewe U23

(Away)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
28 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Charlton U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)