Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru South 2022/2023

Pure Swansea

1 - 1

Abergavenny Town

Our Tip

Match Events

Cole J.

51'

Taylor O.

90'

Thomas R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2022/2023 game between Pure Swansea and Abergavenny Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Pure Swansea

Draws

Abergavenny Town

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pure Swansea carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Pure Swansea a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Cymru South 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 19%

Abergavenny Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pure Swansea	Abergavenny Town
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	3
Draws	7	3
Losses	14	24
Goals Scored	2	0.5
Goals Conceded	2	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Abergavenny Town

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Aug 2, 2022 Cymru South

Abergavenny Town vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Cole J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Abergavenny Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 85 / 100

Abergavenny Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pure Swansea Abergavenny Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abergavenny Town has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Abergavenny Town registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pure Swansea scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Abergavenny Town

2 Goals Scored 0.5

2 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

80% Over 2.5 50%

40% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barry Town	30	25	3	2	78:25	78
2	Llanelli	30	19	5	6	63:34	62
3	Briton Ferry	30	17	9	4	72:33	60
4	Carmarthen Town	30	16	4	10	66:41	52
5	Cambrian United	30	14	5	11	64:53	47
6	Afan Lido	30	13	8	9	61:52	47
7	Llantwit Major	30	13	6	11	46:40	45
8	Cwmbran Celtic	30	10	8	12	62:53	38
9	Pontardawe	30	12	1	17	51:73	37
10	Ammanford Town	30	8	9	13	40:57	33
11	Taffs Well	30	8	8	14	50:54	32
12	Goytre Utd	30	8	8	14	45:67	32
13	Abergavenny Town	30	9	5	16	35:60	32
14	Trefelin	30	7	6	17	47:70	27
15	Pure Swansea	30	6	8	16	30:64	26
16	Ynyshir Albions	30	7	3	20	33:67	24