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Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Parsons S. S.
30' Event
Walters G.
45' Event
Daley N.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2022/2023 game between Pure Swansea and Carmarthen Town finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pure Swansea
44%
Draws
20%
Carmarthen Town
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Carmarthen Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru South 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carmarthen Town have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Carmarthen Town
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 14
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town
0:5
Aug 13, 2022 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea
5:0
Feb 26, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Parsons S. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walters G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 36 / 100
Carmarthen Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Carmarthen Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Pure Swansea's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Carmarthen Town has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carmarthen Town
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barry Town30253278:2578
2Llanelli30195663:3462
3Briton Ferry30179472:3360
4Carmarthen Town301641066:4152
5Cambrian United301451164:5347
6Afan Lido30138961:5247
7Llantwit Major301361146:4045
8Cwmbran Celtic301081262:5338
9Pontardawe301211751:7337
10Ammanford Town30891340:5733
11Taffs Well30881450:5432
12Goytre Utd30881445:6732
13Abergavenny Town30951635:6032
14Trefelin30761747:7027
15Pure Swansea30681630:6426
16Ynyshir Albions30732033:6724