Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru South 2022/2023

Goytre Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea play Goytre Utd in the Cymru South 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pure Swansea averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Goytre Utd averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. In past meetings, Pure Swansea won 1, Goytre Utd won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Pure Swansea and 2.50 for Goytre Utd. This points to a Pure Swansea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Pure Swansea

21%

Draws

36%

Goytre Utd

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Pure Swansea picked up more points recently compared to Goytre Utd.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pure Swansea	Goytre Utd
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	8	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	1.17	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.86	2.44
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Goytre Utd

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Jul 30, 2022 Cymru South

Goytre Utd vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Mar 26, 2022 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Goytre Utd

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Aug 10, 2021 Cymru South

Goytre Utd vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Feb 14, 2020 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Goytre Utd

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 41 / 100

Goytre Utd 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pure Swansea Goytre Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pure Swansea or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pure Swansea attacking → ← attacking Goytre Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pure Swansea scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Goytre Utd let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Goytre Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 27

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barry Town	30	25	3	2	78:25	78
2	Llanelli	30	19	5	6	63:34	62
3	Briton Ferry	30	17	9	4	72:33	60
4	Carmarthen Town	30	16	4	10	66:41	52
5	Cambrian United	30	14	5	11	64:53	47
6	Afan Lido	30	13	8	9	61:52	47
7	Llantwit Major	30	13	6	11	46:40	45
8	Cwmbran Celtic	30	10	8	12	62:53	38
9	Pontardawe	30	12	1	17	51:73	37
10	Ammanford Town	30	8	9	13	40:57	33
11	Taffs Well	30	8	8	14	50:54	32
12	Goytre Utd	30	8	8	14	45:67	32
13	Abergavenny Town	30	9	5	16	35:60	32
14	Trefelin	30	7	6	17	47:70	27
15	Pure Swansea	30	6	8	16	30:64	26
16	Ynyshir Albions	30	7	3	20	33:67	24