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Swansea vs Bristol City

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vipotnik Z.
44'
Widell M.
45'
Earthy G.

AI Match Summary

Swansea in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Swansea
28%
Draws
22%
Bristol City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Swansea have won more games recently than Bristol City.
  • Win probability leans Swansea's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Bristol City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Bristol City
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Bristol City vs Swansea
3:0
Feb 9, 2025 Championship
Bristol City vs Swansea
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Bristol City
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Championship
Bristol City vs Swansea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bristol City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 59 / 100
Bristol City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Bristol City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bristol City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Swansea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Bristol City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890