Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swansea vs Ipswich

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Nunez M.
26'
Tymon J.
30'
Inoussa Z.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Swansea
15%
Draws
20%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ipswich lately — more wins on the board than Swansea.
  • Model gives Swansea a 65% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ipswich have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Ipswich vs Swansea
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Ipswich
1:4
Feb 17, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Ipswich
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 Championship
Ipswich vs Swansea
3:2
Apr 22, 2019 Championship
Ipswich vs Swansea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azon I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 95 / 100
Ipswich 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Swansea scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Ipswich has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Swansea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Ipswich
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
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Ipswich

(Away)
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
30 Aug
Manchester United
5 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)