Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swansea vs Preston

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Jebbison D.
Assist: Lang C.
46'
Sub
Ronald In: Gustavo Nunes
Out: Ronald
46'
Sub
Walta L. In: Yalcouye M.
Out: Walta L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Swansea
15%
Draws
20%
Preston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Swansea have won more games recently than Preston.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Preston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Preston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Preston
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Championship
Preston vs Swansea
2:1
Mar 4, 2025 Championship
Preston vs Swansea
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Preston
3:0
Dec 22, 2023 Championship
Swansea vs Preston
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Cullen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Preston Compare

Top Goalscorer Jebbison D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 95 / 100
Preston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Preston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preston let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Swansea's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Swansea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Preston
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3
Swansea
Page 1 of 6

Preston

(Away)
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1
Preston
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3
Bristol City
29 Aug
Charlton
1 : 0
Preston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)