Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swansea vs West Brom

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
2 - 3
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Eom Ji-Sung
Assist: Widell M.
53' Event
Maja J.
55'
Taylor C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with West Brom advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Swansea
30%
Draws
31%
West Brom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Swansea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
  • Swansea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor West Brom, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
West Brom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea West Brom
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 FA Cup
Swansea vs West Brom
2:3
Jan 1, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs West Brom
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Championship
West Brom vs Swansea
3:2
Jan 4, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs West Brom
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Championship
West Brom vs Swansea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Eom Ji-Sung
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inoussa Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

West Brom Compare

Top Goalscorer Maja J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wallace J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 95 / 100
West Brom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea West Brom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swansea scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: West Brom conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Swansea has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS West Brom
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

West Brom

(Away)
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0
West Brom
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
QPR
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1
West Brom
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0
Watford
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
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Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
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Oxford Utd -
Everton -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
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QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
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Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
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Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
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Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
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Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
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Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
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Oxford Utd -
Everton -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
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QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
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Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
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Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
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Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
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Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1