Sport Picks

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Swansea W vs Pontypridd United W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
John-Davis S.
17' Event
Richards E.
22' Event
Turner S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Women game between Swansea W and Pontypridd United W finished 10-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swansea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Swansea W
6%
Draws
4%
Pontypridd United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swansea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swansea W come out ahead of Pontypridd United W on wins alone.
  • Swansea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • Swansea W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 68%
Pontypridd United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Pontypridd United W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 1
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 3.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 2 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W
1:5
Oct 19, 2025 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Pontypridd United W
10:1
Jan 21, 2024 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Pontypridd United W
3:1
Jan 18, 2023 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer John-Davis S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Turner S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Pontypridd United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fenton N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 95 / 100
Pontypridd United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Pontypridd United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pontypridd United W conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Pontypridd United W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Pontypridd United W
3.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710