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Swansea W vs Wrexham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swansea W host Wrexham W in the Adran Premier Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Wrexham W have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Swansea W have conceded 1.41 and scored 2.88. Head-to-head, Swansea W have won 1 to Wrexham W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.69, favoring Wrexham W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Swansea W
15%
Draws
42%
Wrexham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea W lately — more wins on the board than Wrexham W.
  • Win probability leans Wrexham W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Wrexham W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 10%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Wrexham W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 23 22
Draws 0 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.88 3.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Swansea W
1:2
Mar 25, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Wrexham W
1:7
Nov 30, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Swansea W
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Wrexham W
1:3
Feb 26, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Wrexham W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 10 / 100
Wrexham W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Wrexham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea W found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Wrexham W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Swansea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Wrexham W
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barry Town W
0 : 4
Swansea W
27 Sept
TNS W
4 : 3
Swansea W
20 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
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Wrexham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wrexham W
2 : 3
TNS W
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)