Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U17 vs Japan U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Saeed A.

AI Match Summary

Sweden U17 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sweden U17
20%
Draws
52%
Japan U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sweden U17 at 2.39 per game, Japan U17 at 2.3.
  • Win probability leans Japan U17's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sweden U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U17 Japan U17
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.39 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U17 vs Japan U17
1:0
Oct 28, 2013 World Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Sweden U17
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saeed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.89

Japan U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U17 19 / 100
Japan U17 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U17 Japan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U17 scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Japan U17 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sweden U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U17 VS Japan U17
2.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U17

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U17
0 : 5
Sweden U17
28 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 3
Greece U17
25 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 2
Norway U17
23 Feb
Sweden U17
1 : 1
Poland U17
20 Feb
Estonia U17
0 : 2
Sweden U17
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Japan U17

(Away)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
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