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Sweden U17 vs Norway U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Johnsen P.
Assist: Borgersen A.
44' Event
Hillestad E. L.
Assist: Elvebu A. L.
46'
Sub
Duarte G. In: Andersson A.
Out: Duarte G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U17 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sweden U17
35%
Draws
25%
Norway U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sweden U17 lately — more wins on the board than Norway U17.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sweden U17 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sweden U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Norway U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U17 Norway U17
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.41 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U17
Sweden U17 vs Norway U17
2:2
Feb 6, 2025 Friendly International
Norway U17 vs Sweden U17
0:0
Aug 1, 2024 Friendly International
Sweden U17 vs Norway U17
3:0
Feb 8, 2024 Friendly International
Norway U17 vs Sweden U17
0:1
Aug 8, 2023 Friendly International
Sweden U17 vs Norway U17
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardghji R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Persson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Norway U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hillestad E. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U17 85 / 100
Norway U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U17 Norway U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U17's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Norway U17 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sweden U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U17 VS Norway U17
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U17

(Home)
28 Sept
Switzerland U17
2 : 3
Sweden U17
31 Mar
Montenegro U17
0 : 5
Sweden U17
28 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 3
Greece U17
25 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 2
Norway U17
23 Feb
Sweden U17
1 : 1
Poland U17
Page 1 of 6

Norway U17

(Away)
31 Mar
Norway U17
0 : 1
Greece U17
28 Mar
Montenegro U17
4 : 0
Norway U17
25 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 2
Norway U17
21 Feb
Northern Ireland U17
1 : 1
Norway U17
18 Feb
Scotland U17
0 : 2
Norway U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Slovenia U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Germany U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 North Macedonia U17 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Romania U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Iceland U17 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Portugal U17 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro U17 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
2 Greece U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Sweden U17 3 1 1 1 9:5 4
4 Norway U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Czech Republic U17 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Austria U17 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
4 Kazakhstan U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Serbia U17 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Switzerland U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Cyprus U17 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Scotland U17 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Turkey U17 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Northern Ireland U17 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U17 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Ireland U17 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Poland U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Slovakia U17 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)