Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U19 vs Norway U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Spiten-Nysaeter O. In: El Abdellaoui J.
Out: Spiten-Nysaeter O.
57'
Sub
Gonstad J. In: Nyheim G.
Out: Gonstad J.
65'
Sub
Wendt W. In: Nyhammer T.
Out: Wendt W.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2025 game between Sweden U19 and Norway U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sweden U19
35%
Draws
25%
Norway U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norway U19 come out ahead of Sweden U19 on wins alone.
  • Sweden U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sweden U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Norway U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U19 Norway U19
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U19 vs Norway U19
2:4
Nov 19, 2024 Euro U19
Sweden U19 vs Norway U19
1:2
Sep 7, 2023 Friendly International
Sweden U19 vs Norway U19
0:0
Sep 7, 2021 Friendly International
Norway U19 vs Sweden U19
0:0
Feb 6, 2013 Friendly International
Sweden U19 vs Norway U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sernelius N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Norway U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronning A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U19 39 / 100
Norway U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U19 Norway U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U19's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Norway U19 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sweden U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U19 VS Norway U19
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U19

(Home)
24 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 1
Ukraine U19
31 Mar
Sweden U19
2 : 2
Greece U19
31 Mar
Cyprus U19
1 : 3
Sweden U19
28 Mar
Belgium U19
3 : 3
Sweden U19
28 Mar
Austria U19
3 : 0
Sweden U19
Page 1 of 6

Norway U19

(Away)
31 Mar
Albania U19
2 : 2
Norway U19
31 Mar
Switzerland U19
2 : 1
Norway U19
28 Mar
Croatia U19
1 : 0
Norway U19
28 Mar
Norway U19
3 : 0
Luxembourg U19
25 Mar
Norway U19
2 : 2
France U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Ukraine U19 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Cyprus U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Lithuania U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Turkey U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Malta U19 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Wales U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Scotland U19 3 1 1 1 4:1 4
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Finland U19 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Iceland U19 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Moldova U19 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Azerbaijan U19 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Montenegro U19 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Greece U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U19 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Georgia U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Estonia U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Sweden U19 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
2 Spain U19 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Israel U19 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Luxembourg U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 North Macedonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Croatia U19 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams