Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2025 Stadion Miejski, Tarnobrzeg
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Arasniewicz W.
28'
Lapinska O.
46'
Sub
Sikora I. In: Zielinska M.
Out: Sikora I.

AI Match Summary

Poland U19 W in this Euro U19 Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poland U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sweden U19 W
30%
Draws
37%
Poland U19 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Poland U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U19 W haven't matched Poland U19 W's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Poland U19 W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U19 W Poland U19 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
1:0
Dec 2, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
0:5
Apr 6, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Poland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
2:4
Mar 4, 2020 Friendly International Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Poland U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arasniewicz W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gutowska J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U19 W 32 / 100
Poland U19 W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U19 W Poland U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Sweden U19 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sweden U19 W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Poland U19 W let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U19 W VS Poland U19 W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U19 W

(Home)
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
03 Jul
Germany U19 W
2 : 0
Sweden U19 W
30 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
0 : 5
Sweden U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
Page 1 of 6

Poland U19 W

(Away)
03 Jul
Poland U19 W
5 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
30 Jun
Poland U19 W
1 : 1
Germany U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
18 Apr
Greece U19 W
0 : 3
Poland U19 W
15 Apr
Poland U19 W
0 : 0
Belgium U19 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 W 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Italy U19 W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Poland U19 W 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Sweden U19 W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 W 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Portugal U19 W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 England U19 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Netherlands U19 W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Play Offs)