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Stadium Background

Sweden U21 vs England U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadion ŠRC Sesvete, Sesvete
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Alves W.
Assist: Buck N.
50'
Sub
Buck N. In: Braybrooke S.
Out: Buck N.
51'
Sub
Alves W. In: Godo M.
Out: Alves W.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Sweden U21 and England U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sweden U21
35%
Draws
19%
England U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U20 come out ahead of Sweden U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives England U20 a 19% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 11%
England U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U21 England U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs England U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gul D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

England U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scarlett D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U21 22 / 100
England U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U21 England U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: England U20 conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sweden U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U21 VS England U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.29
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U21

(Home)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
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England U20

(Away)
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
14 Nov
England U20
1 : 1
Japan U20
10 Oct
England U20
0 : 1
Switzerland U20
05 Sept
England U20
1 : 2
Italy U20
24 Mar
England U20
2 : 2
Switzerland U21
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