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Sweden U23 W vs Australia U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Friendly International Women 2024 Spiris Arena, Växjö
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Match Events

11' Event
Renmark J.
30' Event
Renmark J.
41' Event
Handfast E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Sweden U23 W and Australia U23 W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sweden U23 W
15%
Draws
46%
Australia U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden U23 W come out ahead of Australia U23 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Australia U23 W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
Australia U23 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Australia U23 W
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 20 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.21 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Australia U23 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Renmark J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Handfast E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Australia U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 10 / 100
Australia U23 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Australia U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U23 W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Australia U23 W conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sweden U23 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Australia U23 W
2 Goals Scored 2.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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Australia U23 W

(Away)
19 Aug
Australia U23 W
1 : 0
Myanmar W
16 Aug
Vietnam W
1 : 2
Australia U23 W
13 Aug
Australia U23 W
9 : 0
Timor-Leste W
10 Aug
Australia U23 W
1 : 0
Philippines W
07 Aug
Myanmar W
2 : 1
Australia U23 W
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