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Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
De Klonia D. In: Frijns E.
Out: De Klonia D.
61'
Sub
Van Dijk N. In: Hulst C.
Out: Van Dijk N.
61' Event
Schroder F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Sweden U23 W and Netherlands U23 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sweden U23 W
30%
Draws
23%
Netherlands U23 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden U23 W come out ahead of Netherlands U23 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sweden U23 W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 16%
Netherlands U23 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Netherlands U23 W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.21 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:0
Oct 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
1:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
2:4
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
3:2
Sep 19, 2021 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Netherlands U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peddemors E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 48 / 100
Netherlands U23 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Netherlands U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U23 W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Netherlands U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Sweden U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Netherlands U23 W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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Netherlands U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
France U23 W
2 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
17 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
2 : 1
Norway U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
10 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
1 : 1
USA U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
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