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Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Kapocs C.
56' Event
Gabarro I.
59'
Sub
Majarin S. In: Tejada Jimenez A.
Out: Majarin S.

AI Match Summary

Spain U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sweden U23 W
15%
Draws
40%
Spain U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Spain U23 W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Spain U23 W
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 23 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.08 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:4
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
4:1
Apr 6, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W
1:2
Sep 5, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapocs C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Spain U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabarro I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 34 / 100
Spain U23 W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Spain U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden U23 W scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Spain U23 W let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Sweden U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Spain U23 W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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Spain U23 W

(Away)
29 May
Spain U23 W
2 : 3
Sweden U23 W
06 Apr
Spain U23 W
3 : 4
Sweden U23 W
03 Apr
Spain U23 W
2 : 1
England U23 W
25 Feb
Spain U23 W
3 : 0
Denmark U23 W
20 Feb
Spain U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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