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Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Kapocs C.
56' Event
Gabarro I.
59'
Sub
Majarin S. In: Tejada Jimenez A.
Out: Majarin S.

AI Match Summary

Spain U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sweden U23 W
33%
Draws
27%
Spain U23 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Spain U23 W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sweden U23 W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 14%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Spain U23 W
Matches Played 35 25
Wins 23 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.38 2.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:4
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
4:1
Apr 6, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W
1:2
Sep 5, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapocs C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Spain U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabarro I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 39 / 100
Spain U23 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Spain U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden U23 W scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Spain U23 W let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Sweden U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Spain U23 W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.2
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%