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World Championship 2026 Strawberry Arena

Switzerland

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sweden play Switzerland in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sweden averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Switzerland averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Sweden won 2, Switzerland won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Sweden and 2.00 for Switzerland. This points to a Switzerland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Sweden

26%

Draws

37%

Switzerland

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Sweden picked up more points recently compared to Switzerland.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Sweden Clean Sheet 10%

Switzerland Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sweden	Switzerland
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	14	13
Draws	5	12
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.93	1.87
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.16
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship

Switzerland vs Sweden

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Sweden vs Switzerland

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Jul 3, 2018 World Championship

Sweden vs Switzerland

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Mar 27, 2002 Friendly International

Sweden vs Switzerland

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Apr 24, 2001 Friendly International

Switzerland vs Sweden

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzambi J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 35 / 100

Switzerland 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sweden Switzerland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Switzerland or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sweden attacking → ← attacking Switzerland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Switzerland let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sweden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Switzerland lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 51

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0