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Sweden W vs Denmark W

World World

World Cup Women Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sweden W Logo

Sweden W

1 - 2
FT
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jusu Bah M.
Assist: Schroder F.
30' Event
Harder P.
Assist: Floe C.
60'
Sub
Harder P. In: Thomsen J.
Out: Harder P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sweden W
35%
Draws
45%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denmark W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sweden W at 1.97 per game, Denmark W at 1.8.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Denmark W taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Denmark W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 11%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden W Denmark W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Denmark W vs Sweden W
2:1
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Sweden W vs Denmark W
1:2
Jul 4, 2025 Euro Women
Denmark W vs Sweden W
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Denmark W
6:1
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Sweden W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jusu Bah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomsen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden W 18 / 100
Denmark W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Denmark W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sweden W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden W VS Denmark W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)