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Sweden W vs Germany W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro Women Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Sweden W Logo

Sweden W

4 - 1
FT
Germany W Logo

Germany W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Brand J.
Assist: Wamser C.
12' Event
Blackstenius S.
Assist: Asllani K.
21'
Nusken S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro Women game between Sweden W and Germany W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sweden W
30%
Draws
51%
Germany W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Germany W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Germany W come out ahead of Sweden W on wins alone.
  • Germany W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 12%
Germany W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden W Germany W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2 2.43
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Euro Women
Sweden W vs Germany W
4:1
Feb 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Sweden W
0:0
Mar 4, 2020 Algarve Cup Women
Germany W vs Sweden W
1:0
Jun 29, 2019 World Cup Women
Germany W vs Sweden W
1:2
Apr 6, 2019 Friendly International Women
Sweden W vs Germany W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackstenius S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holmberg S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Germany W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brand J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden W 11 / 100
Germany W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden W Germany W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sweden W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Germany W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sweden W VS Germany W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

Germany W

(Away)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Switzerland W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Finland W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iceland W 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Italy W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Belgium W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Portugal W 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Germany W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Poland W 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Denmark W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 England W 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Netherlands W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Wales W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)