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Sweden W vs Lithuania W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Strawberry Arena, Solna
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sweden W have averaged 2.03 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Lithuania W's 1.21 scored and 1.32 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.75 - 1.50) back Sweden W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Sweden W
35%
Draws
40%
Lithuania W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lithuania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Sweden W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 16%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden W Lithuania W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden W 31 / 100
Lithuania W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden W Lithuania W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lithuania W conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Sweden W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lithuania W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden W VS Lithuania W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
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Lithuania W

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -