Sport Picks

Swindon vs Newport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy County Ground, Swindon

Swindon

0 - 2

Newport

Our Tip

Match Events

Garner G.

Assist: Nyakuhwa T.

17'

Garner G.

Penalty Missed

46'

Sub

Ball J. In: Butler D.

Out: Ball J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Swindon

30%

Draws

62%

Newport

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence

Swindon haven't matched Newport's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Newport's way, sitting at 80%.
Newport arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Swindon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Swindon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Swindon Clean Sheet 16%

Newport Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Swindon	Newport
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	10
Draws	5	6
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.66
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Swindon vs Newport

0:2

Feb 11, 2026 League Two

Swindon vs Newport

2:0

Oct 4, 2025 League Two

Newport vs Swindon

0:1

Jan 24, 2025 League Two

Newport vs Swindon

1:2

Sep 14, 2024 League Two

Swindon vs Newport

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swindon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Garner G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nyakuhwa T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon 11 / 100

Newport 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Swindon Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newport Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swindon scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Newport has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Swindon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swindon VS Newport

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon

(Home)

03 Oct

Rochdale

1 : 0

Swindon

26 Sept

Swindon

1 : 1

Accrington

22 Sept

Swindon

0 : 2

Newport

19 Sept

Salford

1 : 0

Swindon

15 Sept

Swindon

1 : 2

Crystal Palace U21

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Newport

(Away)

06 Oct

Newport

2 : 3

Plymouth

03 Oct

Gillingham

0 : 0

Newport

26 Sept

Newport

2 : 1

Grimsby

22 Sept

Swindon

0 : 2

Newport

19 Sept

Accrington

0 : 0

Newport

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