Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Lynch O.
Assist: Lawrence-Gabriel J.
13'
13'
Drinan A.
46'
46'
Sub
Waine B. In: Simpson T.
Out: Waine B.
AI Match Summary
Swindon in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swindon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swindon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Swindon haven't matched Port Vale's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Swindon's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Swindon Clean Sheet 68%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swindon | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Port Vale
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Port Vale
3:3
Sep 28, 2024 League Two
Port Vale vs Swindon
2:1
May 19, 2022 League Two
Port Vale vs Swindon
2:0
May 15, 2022 League Two
Swindon vs Port Vale
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swindon Compare
Top Goalscorer Drinan A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Middlemas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Port Vale Compare
Top Goalscorer Lynch O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swindon 68 / 100
Port Vale 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swindon Port Vale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swindon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Swindon scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Port Vale has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Away concern: Port Vale has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swindon VS Port Vale
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Swindon
(Home) 22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 3
Port Vale
(Away) 22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
15 Aug
Oldham
2 : 0 Port Vale
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
