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Swindon W vs Gwalia United W

England England

Women's National League South 2016/2017 County Ground, Swindon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2016/2017 game between Swindon W and Gwalia United W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwalia United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Swindon W
15%
Draws
49%
Gwalia United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gwalia United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwalia United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gwalia United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gwalia United W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Swindon W Clean Sheet 10%
Gwalia United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon W Gwalia United W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.66 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Gwalia United W vs Swindon W
4:1
Nov 14, 2017 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Gwalia United W
0:6
Sep 21, 2017 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Swindon W
4:1
Feb 19, 2017 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Swindon W
8:0
Oct 6, 2016 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Gwalia United W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon W 10 / 100
Gwalia United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon W Gwalia United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwalia United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Gwalia United W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Gwalia United W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Swindon W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Swindon W VS Gwalia United W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon W

(Home)
20 Sept
Hashtag W
4 : 0
Swindon W
13 Sept
Swindon W
1 : 2
Fulham W
30 Aug
Real Bedford W
2 : 1
Swindon W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
16 Aug
Swindon W
4 : 2
Plymouth W
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Gwalia United W

(Away)
09 Aug
Gwalia United W
0 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
26 Apr
Exeter W
2 : 1
Gwalia United W
05 Apr
Gwalia United W
1 : 3
Watford W
29 Mar
Real Bedford W
0 : 1
Gwalia United W
22 Mar
Gwalia United W
2 : 3
Lewes W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 20 17 1 2 58:13 52
2 Coventry United W 20 15 3 2 55:15 48
3 Gwalia United W 20 14 2 4 72:19 44
4 Charlton W 20 13 3 4 55:25 42
5 Crystal Palace W 20 9 6 5 48:23 33
6 Hashtag W 20 8 3 9 29:42 27
7 Lewes W 20 7 4 9 31:36 25
8 Portsmouth W 20 5 2 13 31:66 17
9 West Ham W 20 1 6 13 12:59 9
10 Swindon W 20 2 2 16 20:60 8
11 Hounslow W 20 2 2 16 11:64 8
Promotion - Women's National League 2016/2017 (Main)