Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Stasiak A.
88'
88'
Kowalski A.
90'
90'
Paczuk P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Swinoujscie and Elana Torun finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swinoujscie
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elana Torun carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Swinoujscie a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 14%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swinoujscie | Elana Torun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Elana Torun
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Elana Torun
3:1
May 4, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swinoujscie Compare
Top Goalscorer Stasiak A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Paczuk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Kowalski A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaminski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swinoujscie 41 / 100
Elana Torun 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swinoujscie Elana Torun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elana Torun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Swinoujscie scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Elana Torun has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swinoujscie VS Elana Torun
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Swinoujscie
(Home) 18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0 Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2 Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
30 May
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0 Cartusia Kartuzy
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin II
09 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 3 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 3
Elana Torun
(Away) 18 Jul
Elana Torun
1 : 3 Czarni Pruszcz Gdansk
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4 Elana Torun
04 Jul
Unia Wabrzezno
1 : 2 Elana Torun
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5 Tluchowo
23 May
Elana Torun
0 : 3 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4 Elana Torun
04 Jul
Unia Wabrzezno
1 : 2 Elana Torun
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0 Elana Torun
01 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Apr
Luzino
2 : 1 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)