Sport Picks
Swinoujscie vs GKS Jastrzebie
Poland
Polish Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Tomal J. In: Zielinski B.
Out: Tomal J.
46'
46'
Sub
Gebala P. In: Kakolewski I.
Out: Gebala P.
51'
51'
Jakuc O.
AI Match Summary
Swinoujscie in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swinoujscie
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- GKS Jastrzebie haven't matched Swinoujscie's recent run of results.
- Model gives Swinoujscie a 90% chance of winning this.
- Swinoujscie have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Swinoujscie, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Swinoujscie have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 68%
GKS Jastrzebie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swinoujscie | GKS Jastrzebie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup
Swinoujscie vs GKS Jastrzebie
3:2
Apr 18, 2009 Division 1
GKS Jastrzebie vs Swinoujscie
1:3
Sep 3, 2008 Division 1
Swinoujscie vs GKS Jastrzebie
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swinoujscie Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasperowicz K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Turski H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
GKS Jastrzebie Compare
Top Goalscorer Baranowicz B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kakolewski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swinoujscie 95 / 100
GKS Jastrzebie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swinoujscie GKS Jastrzebie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: GKS Jastrzebie conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.
GKS Jastrzebie's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Swinoujscie scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Swinoujscie VS GKS Jastrzebie
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Swinoujscie
(Home) 25 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1 Swinoujscie
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0 Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2 Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0 Cartusia Kartuzy
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin II
09 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 3 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 3
GKS Jastrzebie
(Away) 05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
30 May
GKS Jastrzebie
0 : 3 Slask Wroclaw II
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
16 May
GKS Jastrzebie
0 : 3 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
09 May
Podbeskidzie
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
09 May
Podbeskidzie
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
25 Apr
KKS Kalisz
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
10 Apr
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Zawisza-
TBD-
TBD-
Tychy-
GKS Wikielec-
TBD-
Podbeskidzie2
R. Rzeszow1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg-
TBD-
Hutnik Krakow3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Bytom Odrzanski-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla-
Beskid Andrychow-
TBD-
Chojniczanka2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1
Legnica II-
TBD-
Swit Szczecin2
LKS Lodz II1
Malapanew Ozimek-
TBD-
TBD-
Pruszkow-
S. Rzeszow-
TBD-
TBD-
Korona Kielce-
LKS Lomza-
TBD-
TBD-
Odra Opole-
Korona Kielce II-
TBD-
TBD-
Piast Gliwice-
Gryf Slupsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Polonia Warszawa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec-
TBD-
TBD-
Puszcza-
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3
Wisla Pulawy0
TBD-
Lechia Gdansk-
Arka Gdynia-
TBD-
TBD-
Motor Lublin-
Legia II-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Avia Swidnik-
TBD-
TBD-
Ruch Chorzow-
Swinoujscie-
TBD-
KKS Kalisz0
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II-
TBD-
Stal Stalowa Wola3
Skra Czestochowa1
Warta Poznan1
Olimpia Elblag0
Polonia Bytom7
Zaglebie II1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-
TBD-
KS Wieczysta Krakow0
Ol. Grudziadz1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki-
TBD-
TBD-
Slask Wroclaw-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leczna-
TBD-
TBD-
Cracovia-
LKS Lodz-
TBD-
TBD-
Chrobry Glogow-
GKS Katowice-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla Plock-
Legnica-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Siedlce-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Szczecin-
Termalica Bruk-Bet-
TBD-
TBD-
Widzew Lodz-
Radomiak Radom-
TBD-
TBD-
Zaglebie-
1/32-finals
Zawisza2
Tychy0
GKS Wikielec2
Podbeskidzie1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0
Hutnik Krakow1
Bytom Odrzanski0
Wisla1
Beskid Andrychow0
Chojniczanka3
Legnica II1
Swit Szczecin3
Malapanew Ozimek1
Pruszkow2
S. Rzeszow0
Korona Kielce1
LKS Lomza0
Odra Opole2
Korona Kielce II0
Piast Gliwice1
Gryf Slupsk1
Polonia Warszawa0
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec1
Puszcza2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0
Lechia Gdansk1
Arka Gdynia1
Motor Lublin0
Legia II0
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik3
Ruch Chorzow1
Swinoujscie3
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II3
Stal Stalowa Wola1
Warta Poznan0
Polonia Bytom1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1
Ol. Grudziadz3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki1
Slask Wroclaw2
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Leczna1
Cracovia5
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
GKS Katowice4
Wisla Plock2
Legnica2
Pogon Siedlce0
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg0
Pogon Szczecin3
Termalica Bruk-Bet2
Widzew Lodz3
Radomiak Radom0
Zaglebie2
1/16-finals
Zawisza3
GKS Wikielec0
Hutnik Krakow0
Wisla1
Chojniczanka3
Swit Szczecin1
Pruszkow0
Korona Kielce3
Odra Opole0
Piast Gliwice2
Gryf Slupsk1
Lech Poznan2
Puszcza1
Lechia Gdansk3
Arka Gdynia1
Gornik Zabrze2
Avia Swidnik3
Swinoujscie0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II0
Polonia Bytom7
Ol. Grudziadz0
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa3
Cracovia0
LKS Lodz1
GKS Katowice2
Legnica2
Jagiellonia3
Legia1
Pogon Szczecin2
Widzew Lodz1
Zaglebie0
1/8-finals
Zawisza4
Wisla1
Chojniczanka2
Korona Kielce1
Piast Gliwice0
Lech Poznan2
Lechia Gdansk1
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik4
Polonia Bytom2
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice3
Jagiellonia1
Pogon Szczecin0
Widzew Lodz1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza2
Chojniczanka1
Lech Poznan0
Gornik Zabrze1
Avia Swidnik1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice2
Widzew Lodz1
Semi-finals
Zawisza0
Gornik Zabrze1
Rakow Czestochowa5
GKS Katowice4
Final
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow Czestochowa0
