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Swinoujscie vs Unia Solec Kujawski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Babiarz S.
68' Event
Cybulski S.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Badowski M.

AI Match Summary

Swinoujscie in this III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Swinoujscie
6%
Draws
4%
Unia Solec Kujawski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swinoujscie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Swinoujscie have won more games recently than Unia Solec Kujawski.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Swinoujscie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 13%
Unia Solec Kujawski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Unia Solec Kujawski
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Unia Solec Kujawski
4:1
Oct 14, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Swinoujscie
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Badowski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janiszewski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Unia Solec Kujawski Compare

Top Goalscorer Babiarz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 84 / 100
Unia Solec Kujawski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Unia Solec Kujawski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Solec Kujawski let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Swinoujscie scored in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Unia Solec Kujawski lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713