Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Swinoujscie

2 - 1

Victoria Wrzesnia

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Sukhenko I.

35'

Stasiak A.

45'

Stasiak A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Swinoujscie in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Swinoujscie

17%

Draws

70%

Victoria Wrzesnia

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Victoria Wrzesnia lately — more wins on the board than Swinoujscie.
Victoria Wrzesnia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 13%

Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Swinoujscie	Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	13
Draws	6	4
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Victoria Wrzesnia vs Swinoujscie

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Stasiak A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sukhenko I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 14 / 100

Victoria Wrzesnia 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Swinoujscie Victoria Wrzesnia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WRZ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swinoujscie's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Victoria Wrzesnia conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Swinoujscie stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS Victoria Wrzesnia

1.38 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15