Sport Picks
Swit Mazowiecki vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Miarka J.
34'
34'
Miarka J.
59'
59'
Dworzynski P.
AI Match Summary
Plock II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plock II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Plock II lately — more wins on the board than Swit Mazowiecki.
- Swit Mazowiecki are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swit Mazowiecki | Plock II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Plock II
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:1
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Plock II
2:2
Jul 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Swit Mazowiecki vs Plock II
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Dworzynski P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olpinski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Plock II Compare
Top Goalscorer Miarka J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lapinski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swit Mazowiecki 39 / 100
Plock II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swit Mazowiecki Plock II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Swit Mazowiecki scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Plock II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Swit Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swit Mazowiecki VS Plock II
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Swit Mazowiecki
(Home) 03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 3
Plock II
(Away) 03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 Plock II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
