Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swit Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Szuprytowski D.
60' Event
Pakulski D.
76' Event
Klimek P.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Siedlce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Swit Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
45%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Siedlce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swit Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Siedlce.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Swit Mazowiecki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Siedlce have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 17%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Swit Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
0:4
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:0
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:0
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:1
Feb 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Szuprytowski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pakulski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 41 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swit Mazowiecki scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Swit Mazowiecki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Pogon Siedlce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
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Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3
Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
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