Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swit Szczecin vs Starogard Gdanski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wojdak K.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Zielinski K.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Nowicki S.

AI Match Summary

Swit Szczecin in this III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swit Szczecin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Swit Szczecin
33%
Draws
27%
Starogard Gdanski
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Swit Szczecin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Swit Szczecin have won more games recently than Starogard Gdanski.
  • Swit Szczecin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Swit Szczecin Clean Sheet 18%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Szczecin Starogard Gdanski
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swit Szczecin vs Starogard Gdanski
3:1
Oct 6, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Swit Szczecin
0:1
May 24, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Swit Szczecin vs Starogard Gdanski
0:0
Oct 22, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Swit Szczecin
1:0
Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Swit Szczecin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowicki S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Swiety L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Szczecin 40 / 100
Starogard Gdanski 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Szczecin Starogard Gdanski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Starogard Gdanski conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Swit Szczecin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Starogard Gdanski lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Swit Szczecin VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713