Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swit Szczecin vs Wisla Pulawy

Poland Poland

Division 2 2024/2025 Stadion Miejski Skolwin
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Swit Szczecin averaging 1.1 xG at home and Wisla Pulawy producing 1.3 xG on their travels. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Swit Szczecin
19%
Draws
48%
Wisla Pulawy
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Wisla Pulawy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Swit Szczecin picked up more points recently compared to Wisla Pulawy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Swit Szczecin Clean Sheet 19%
Wisla Pulawy Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Szczecin Wisla Pulawy
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

11.04.25 Division 2
Swit Szczecin vs Wisla Pulawy
2:4
15.09.24 Division 2
Wisla Pulawy vs Swit Szczecin
2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Swit Szczecin

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Wisla Pulawy

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.68

Wisla Pulawy Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.91

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Wisla Pulawy • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Swit Szczecin • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Wisla Pulawy • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Swit Szczecin • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Szczecin 34 / 100
Wisla Pulawy 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Szczecin Wisla Pulawy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wisla Pulawy or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Swit Szczecin will likely press early to force mistakes.

Swit Szczecin 59%
Wisla Pulawy 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Wisla Pulawy should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Swit Szczecin 54%
Wisla Pulawy 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Swit Szczecin 51%
Wisla Pulawy 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Swit Szczecin to push more players wide.

Swit Szczecin 56%
Wisla Pulawy 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Swit Szczecin 51%
Wisla Pulawy 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Swit Szczecin 62%
Wisla Pulawy 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Swit Szczecin attacking → ← attacking Wisla Pulawy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Szczecin have scored in 86% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Wisla Pulawy concede most goals (45%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 20 shots per game, well above the league median.

Swit Szczecin are unbeaten in 8 straight matches when scoring first.

Wisla Pulawy have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Swit Szczecin wants a European spot, while Wisla Pulawy is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 34
1.10 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2