Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Switzerland vs Estonia

World World

Friendly International 2024 Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zuber S.
46'
Sub
Freuler R. In: Sierro V.
Out: Freuler R.
46'
Sub
Duah K. In: Amdouni Z.
Out: Duah K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Switzerland and Estonia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Switzerland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Switzerland
15%
Draws
42%
Estonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Switzerland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Switzerland a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Switzerland have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 68%
Estonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Switzerland Estonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Switzerland vs Estonia
4:0
Oct 12, 2015 Euro
Estonia vs Switzerland
0:1
Mar 27, 2015 Euro
Switzerland vs Estonia
3:0
Nov 16, 1993 World Championship
Switzerland vs Estonia
4:0
Aug 15, 1992 World Championship
Estonia vs Switzerland
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuber S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amdouni Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

Estonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Switzerland 77 / 100
Estonia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Switzerland Estonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Switzerland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Switzerland's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Estonia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Switzerland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Switzerland VS Estonia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Switzerland

(Home)
12 Jul
Argentina
3 : 1
Switzerland
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
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Estonia

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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