Sport Picks
Switzerland vs North Macedonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Thermoplan Arena, Luzern 
Match Events
37'
37'
Elezi A.
43'
43'
Rieder F.
46'
46'
Sub
Sow D. In: Manzambi J.
Out: Sow D.
AI Match Summary
Switzerland in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Switzerland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Switzerland lately — more wins on the board than North Macedonia.
- Switzerland are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 20%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Switzerland | North Macedonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.12 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Switzerland vs North Macedonia
3:0
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Switzerland
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Switzerland Compare
Top Goalscorer Rieder F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Manzambi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
North Macedonia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Switzerland 85 / 100
North Macedonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Switzerland North Macedonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Switzerland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Switzerland scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.
Away concern: North Macedonia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
North Macedonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Switzerland VS North Macedonia
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Switzerland
(Home) 06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0 North Macedonia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1 Slovenia
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3 Switzerland
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3 Switzerland
12 Jul
Argentina
3 : 1 Switzerland
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0 North Macedonia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1 Slovenia
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0 Colombia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0 Algeria
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1 Canada
Page 1 of 4
North Macedonia
(Away) 06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0 North Macedonia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2 Scotland
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0 North Macedonia
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3 Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0 North Macedonia
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0 North Macedonia
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0 North Macedonia
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0 North Macedonia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
