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SWQ Thunder vs Holland Park Hawks

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021 Clive Berghofer Stadium
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2021 game between SWQ Thunder and Holland Park Hawks finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SWQ Thunder.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SWQ Thunder
17%
Draws
70%
Holland Park Hawks
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SWQ Thunder come out ahead of Holland Park Hawks on wins alone.
  • Holland Park Hawks are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SWQ Thunder have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
SWQ Thunder Clean Sheet 18%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SWQ Thunder Holland Park Hawks
Matches Played 44 34
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs SWQ Thunder
5:2
May 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Holland Park Hawks
5:3
Sep 8, 2021 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Holland Park Hawks
6:3
Apr 10, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs SWQ Thunder
2:3
Oct 17, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs SWQ Thunder
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SWQ Thunder 15 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SWQ Thunder Holland Park Hawks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

SWQ Thunder's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Holland Park Hawks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

SWQ Thunder has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holland Park Hawks
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane City20200064:1260
2Rochedale20141557:2643
3SWQ Thunder20132547:3241
4Western Pride20102836:3332
5Ipswich Knights2093841:3530
6Mitchelton20911041:4328
7Southside Eagles2066830:3324
8Sunshine Coast2065933:4023
9Souths20501528:5415
10Holland Park Hawks20331429:5412
11Wynnum Wolves20311618:6210