Sport Picks
Sydney FC U23 vs Rockdale Ilinden
Australia
NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 
Match Events
49'
49'
Fowler Z.
85'
85'
Constable L.
90'
90'
Glasson M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Sydney FC U23 and Rockdale Ilinden finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney FC U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sydney FC U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Rockdale Ilinden carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sydney FC U23 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney FC U23 | Rockdale Ilinden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:1
May 10, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney FC U23
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:2
May 18, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney FC U23
2:1
Aug 19, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney FC U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Fowler Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Glasson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Rockdale Ilinden Compare
Top Goalscorer Constable L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sydney FC U23 41 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sydney FC U23 Rockdale Ilinden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Sydney FC U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Rockdale Ilinden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Sydney FC U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sydney FC U23 VS Rockdale Ilinden
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sydney FC U23
(Home) 30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
26 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
05 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
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Rockdale Ilinden
(Away) 30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6 Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
