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Sydney Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Sydney United Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Wada T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sydney Utd and Rockdale Ilinden finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sydney Utd
44%
Draws
20%
Rockdale Ilinden
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney Utd come out ahead of Rockdale Ilinden on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Utd Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Utd
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:3
Sep 1, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Utd
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Wada T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Utd 36 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Utd Rockdale Ilinden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sydney Utd scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Rockdale Ilinden let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Sydney Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Utd VS Rockdale Ilinden
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918