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Sydney Utd vs Sutherland Sharks

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
van Amerongen T.

AI Match Summary

Sutherland Sharks in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutherland Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sydney Utd
20%
Draws
19%
Sutherland Sharks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than Sutherland Sharks.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Utd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Utd Sutherland Sharks
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Utd
1:2
May 24, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
2:2
Jun 29, 2024 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Utd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer van Amerongen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Utd 85 / 100
Sutherland Sharks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Utd Sutherland Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sydney Utd stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sydney Utd's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Utd VS Sutherland Sharks
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Utd

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7

Sutherland Sharks

(Away)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)